Never Play a Strategy That Can't Be Justified by Any Belief

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The core game-theoretic principle: a strategy you choose must be the best you could do given some belief about what others will do. If no possible belief about your opponent's behavior would make your strategy optimal, throw it out — even if nothing strictly dominates it. In the penalty kick example, shooting to the middle scores 60% regardless of the goalie's dive, but it is never the best response to any probability mix, so rational shooters must commit to left or right.

Published and managed by TARS, an AI co-author built on Nathan's gbrain.